J.R. Smith shooting his way into Cavs record books: WFNY Stats & Info
March 16, 2015Video: Nike’s Kyrie 1 is the most popular shoe in the NBA
March 16, 2015Third verse, same as the first: Baseball is not broken. Baseball is as beautiful a sport as it has ever been. The art of hitting a baseball with an elongated, rounded bat has amazingly persevered through the generations as something that is worth attempting. The drama that builds during crucial games is incredible as every single pitch can have more meaning than the last one. And, the ability to watch the rest of the games while chatting with friends and family on beautiful summer days and nights has also not lost its luster. So, please do not mistake the thoughts presented here as implying that baseball itself is broken. However, MLB could be better.
In part one, we discussed some ways to improve the MLB experience for the fans. In part two, we discussed ways to improve the MLB in game experience though we may have to add to it if MLB does not enforce the pace of play directives they instituted this season as Kirk Lammers mentioned Thursday. Now, in the last installment of this feature, we are going to go over how to improve the MLB Collective Bargaining Agreement from a fan’s perspective1 .
Unfortunately, unlike the previous installments, I do not have definitive answers2 . There are advantages and disadvantages to almost any approach taken. As such, I almost decided to skip this topic entirely, but, Buford Tannen asked if I was “yella”3 .
As a fan, I believe that the main component we want to see in the CBA is that our team of interest has hope to create a championship contending team. For a CBA to be effective to fans of all teams, it must be able to deliver hope to all teams. That hope does not mean a team is guaranteed to be a championship contender, but that a team can contend if their front office and coaching staff make intelligent moves4 .
International Prospect Signing
Current rules5 :
The International signing period begins on July 2 each year. International players 16 years of age and above are eligible to be signed and each team is given a slotted pool of money to sign international players based on reverse order of major league winning percentage from the previous season. To complicate matters, teams are allowed to trade for up to a 50% increase in their bonus pool money. To further complicate matters, the penalty for going over your bonus pool is to hard cap the amount you can sign an individual player the next year, but the team still gets their slotted pool of money for trading purposes6.
Due to MLB clubs targeting players at even younger ages, there was an additional rule placed in 2014. International players are not allowed to be at a team facility until they are 16 years old or until six months before they become eligible to sign, whichever comes first. You know, so that a team cannot give a prospect like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. the Reggie Bush Treatment while he is young so that he will sign with them once he is eligible7 .
Advantages
The international signing portions of the CBA are largely targeted at the Latin American countries. As such, they end up rewarding teams that develop a trusted relationship with the area players and coaches because they have to individually sign them. It actually works out in a similar fashion to the college recruitment, which is why MLB instituted a rule that teams may not contact a player younger than 16 years of age unless they are within a six month window of being signed8.
The advantage of such a system is that it gives teams incentive to invest heavily in baseball academies in these developing countries.
Disadvantages
The main issue with the international signing is that it is a completely different process than for Canadian, Puerto Rican, and American players. Having a parallel system in place due to the differences in development structures is unfortunate, but okay. I do not believe that having the system be completely different is acceptable. Then, add in the complexity of posting fees to Asian leagues and it gets really strange.
Proposal
MLB did propose an international draft at the time of the last CBA, but the MLBPA rebuked it. The current slotting system got the owners an overall dampening effect on the salaries9 , but did not change the fact that the system is not standardized. I would propose that the system matches the First-Year Player Draft rules as proposed below with a couple of addendums to it. First, that the age be maintained at 16 years. Second, that there be a restriction placed on posting fees separate from the governed pool money given to each team. Also, by changing it to a draft, the individual teams should donate money to MLB to maintain the existing academies in Latin America. If some teams want to put more money into those academies, then they could do so as a Sponsored Partner10 .
First-Year Player Draft11
Current rules
Players who are residents of the United States of America, Canada, Puerto Rico, or any other USA territory are eligible for this draft if they are high school graduates12, juniors in a 4-year college, or have turned 21 years of age. Teams select from the worst record to best record order according to the standings of the previous season.
The pool money is given to teams based on where they have picks13, but the team may use their pool money allocation however they wish. The one difference here is that they only get the pool money allocated if they actually sign the player they drafted in that slot. So, if a team does not sign their first round pick, then they do not get the money allocated for that slot either. If the team does sign their first round pick, then they can potentially sign him for less than his slot money and use that money on another player later in the draft.
And, if you do not think that is complicated enough, then you can read about all the different caveats about signing14 and exactly which players are eligible here.
Personally, I think the Evil Minions are responsible for writing the MLB rulebook:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TCVG0VLa60E
Advantages
Having a draft rather than signing players out right allows the teams to be on more equal footing to acquire prospects. Putting the teams in reverse order of the standings allows the worst teams to have some measure of hope that they can get better. Having a specific set pool of money to sign prospects was added in order to help remove the word signability from the scouting reports15 .
Disadvantages
It is odd and unfair that a player attending a 4-year college is penalized professionally in baseball compared to one that goes to a junior college. It is also unfortunate that so many players are drafted that do not actually sign because it is difficult for fans to get excited about a draft that is 40 rounds long made up of many players that will not be signed16 .
In addition, a team does not know how much money they actually have to utilize because it depends on how many players actually sign contracts (oftentimes, these negotiations run to the last hours as agents use it as leverage). The unknown number of signings also make it difficult for the MLBPA to properly negotiate how much money should be made available in the pool.
Proposal
MLB needs to standardize everything it can here. Keep the draft, but change the eligibility rules to make 4-year college students on the same footing as high school players and junior college players.
Also, players need to submit in their documentation the round value at which they guarantee that they will sign with a team in order to help navigate the continuing signability issue. It would read that if a team offers full slot value for where they are drafted up to a specific round, then they guarantee that they are willing to sign17. As such, the amount of rounds should be able to be reduced signfiicantly.
Finally, the teams get their full slot money just as they do for the international signings. They may use it even if they do not sign the player from that particular slot.
Service Time
Current rules
Even after a prospect gets drafted and signs a contract with a team, the stringent rule system is not over. MLB has rules placed based on service time accrued at the MLB level. Currently, a player receives a paltry sum of money (as compared to veteran peers) for the first three years of his professional career18. That time is accrued by being on an active MLB roster, disabled list, or suspended list. There are a ton more exceptions (surprise!) and you can read about them here.
Even after those first three accrued seasons, the player is only eligible for arbitration through the next three seasons, which is still significantly below the market value for that player. Finally, after six full seasons of accruing MLB service time, the player is allowed to enter free agency. Of course, at any point, the player and team can agree to sign a separate contract.
http://33.media.tumblr.com/b04651773e6a31ba2b04fd04fc9bc2b1/tumblr_n1tihur1wi1trg912o1_500.gif
Advantages
The team has control of the player through their minor league development and their initial time at the MLB level. As such, a team can choose to be patient with prospects and allow them each to develop at their own pace rather than by an arbitrary contractual clock. Small market teams can load up on younger prospects knowing that they will be on affordable contracts for a relatively long period of time.
Disadvantages
Players value is completely dampened to the point that they need to perform at a high level for far more years than any other sport to get paid market value for their skills. From a fan perspective, it is not a huge deal except that it is likely the biggest point of contention in the upcoming CBA negotiations that could cause an extended lockout or strike.
Proposal
A system that mirrors the NBA. Keep everything the same until after three years of MLB service time is accrued. At that point, the player becomes a restricted free agent that is free to sign with any other team, but their existing team has the right to match that contract. It will dampen the value some, but it should not be as drastic. Also, it will create a secondary market for free agency that would be both entertaining for fans and valuable for teams.
Small Versus Large Market Dynamics
Current rules
Basically, MLB tries to balance the market dynamics in two different ways. Charging a competitive balance tax (luxury tax) on teams that spend a bunch on payroll and providing revenue sharing for teams that do not bring in as much money. The luxury tax money goes into industry development, while the revenue sharing is something that every team puts 31% of their local revenue into and then take an equal share back out19 .
Luxury Tax Details
The threshold level for the luxury tax will be $178 million in both 2012 and 2013 (the same as it was in 2011), and will be raised to $189 million from 2014-2016. And offenders will be charged the following tax rates, depending on how many years in a row they have been above the threshold:
First time: 17.5%
Second time: 30%
Third time: 40%
Fourth time and higher: 50%
https://33.media.tumblr.com/cf87668f1394f62a25dde8c6a52d64fc/tumblr_n8z4jjABDx1rylr5to1_500.gif
Advantages
MLB at least recognizes that there is a large discrepency between the large market teams and the small market teams. These devices are attempts at balancing out the scales to some degree. It is not meant to completely balance it though as MLB seems to recognize that the sport is more popular nationally when the landmark teams (Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers, Giants, and Cardinals being the biggest) are doing well.
Disadvantages
Since the system not only favors the large markets, but it has not kept up with the increasing disparity between the local revenues between the large and small markets, the smaller market teams have to get creative in order to compete. For instance, the Oakland Athletics have averaged 93 wins over the last three seasons, but they decided it was in their best interest to trade off many of their best players in order to retool for the future (Josh Donaldson, Yoenis Cespedes, Brandon Moss), which is frustrating for fans of those teams and at the same time understandable given the parameters within which the team has to work.
Proposal
The luxury tax threshold should not be based something other than a somewhat arbitrary set value. The exact modeling of it can be debated, but the other professional sport leagues seem to be able to handle a yearly moving target. The revenue sharing is a trickier issue because I do not know how to properly balance it so that teams are rewarded for spending rather than banking profits, but, at the same time, are not penalized to the point of non-contention based on location. I am open for suggestions here.
Part 4 Teaser
Part 4 is whatever you guys put in the comments. You can write it yourselves as my installments are done 🙂
- the one perspective that does not have a voice in those discussions [↩]
- or, answers that I believe are definitive [↩]
- if you think that you will be inundated with BttF references in this important year for that trilogy, then you are correct. [↩]
- the NFL is the king of instilling hope despite an elite group of 6-8 teams being annual contenders [↩]
- I am going to paraphrase and give highlights rather than the bogged down details. [↩]
- So, if a team really likes a prospect, they can spend whatever they want, but they will not be able to sign a good prospect the next season. [↩]
- Cough Toronto cough… [↩]
- A 15-year old who is turning 16 before July 2 that year. [↩]
- except for the best players [↩]
- despite it being a draft, there would still be value to brand recognition in the process and some teams would invest there [↩]
- also known as the Rule 4 Draft [↩]
- Junior college players are considered the same as high school graduates [↩]
- Certain amount allocated for each slot. [↩]
- And what happens if you don’t sign your player. [↩]
- Though it is still a signficant factor as it effects the slot money a team has to use. [↩]
- And the vast majority of the other picks will not be seen at the MLB level for years. [↩]
- Yes, I understand the issue that putting a low grade on yourself may dampen where you are drafted, I am open for suggestions here. [↩]
- Ugh, except for Super-2 exception, yada yada… [↩]
- Note: luxury tax paying teams will not receive any money back starting in 2016 [↩]
24 Comments
Luxury tax is broke. They have to pay tax if payroll is above 189M?!? Two teams above that in 2014. Make the luxury tax at 60-65% of the average, and then any money that goes to the teams under MUST use next season on roster.
You’d have to be very careful when instituting an international draft. When Puerto Rico was included in the draft, the amount of talent fell significantly. The incentive to train the kids before they hit that age 16 mark to get into academies disappeared. The first and foremost intent of all drafts is to keep player salaries down. You have to make sure you still pour enough money into these countries to help them develop their talent before it even gets to the academies.
Tricky because you don’t just want to hand money to teams because they are not spending. Should look at it as a percentage of payroll compared to revenue. Interesting to see what teams spend vs revenue. Det had a delta of +90 whereas CLE had delta of +108. If CLE had spent 62% of revenue on payroll, their payroll would have been 118 for 2013.
A 12-team league with a higher payroll and a 20-team league with lower salary cap, allowing the same cap but giving teams with bigger budgets better odds of getting in the playoffs. Both sides could send 5 teams or whatever into the playoffs.
You still haven’t touched on the biggest (and in my mind, only) problem. The lack of a cap.
luxury tax + revenue sharing = soft cap. I disagree a bit with a hard cap, but please feel free to expound on it if you believe it is the correct answer.
Seconded. Never understood the “baseball needs a cap” argument.
even % of revenue on payroll is tricky. should the Indians be penalized for spending money on Progressive Field, development in Latin America, and other team and fan specific purposes? you have hit on exactly why this portion was so difficult. anytime I thought I might have an answer, about 100 different disadvantages would creep in too.
I agree that the luxury tax threshold is far too high right now.
Yes… unintended consequences and all that….
I disagree. The first and foremost reason is to allow an equal distribution of talent (of course, dependent on scouting, etc.). Keeping salaries down is an intended consequence, but it is not the first reason. I know that we disagree on this item. One of the reasons that I made the pool money static no matter how many players you actually sign is to help mitigate the salary dampening.
Players are not going to go for a system that drastically limits what owners are willing to pay.
Baseball already has more parity than the NFL. No need for a cap.
it’s an out-there suggestion. always appreciate out-there thoughts though. it’s often how some great ideas get formed.
I’m guessing you could also play business side games with % of revenue as well. Always going to be loopholes to exploit.
yes, teams already complain that NESN and YESN are gameplays by Red Sox and Yankees to avoid paying further into revenue sharing.
Well said and succinct. I started to make a point about RSNs, but wasn’t happy with the clarity and/or brevity of what I had typed.
I guess my point is what does revenue sharing do? If the indians get 20M from revenue sharing, where is it going? They do the tax to ensure they have parity, so make the teams use the money to improve the product on the field.
True. I’ve read that the League and the Player’s Association wasn’t happy with Houston’s spending in 2013 and made it known. So there’s at least some unofficial mechanisms to encourage teams to spend adequately, but I agree that revenue sharing should be used for improving the team rather than being direct deposit for owners. I’m not sure how you enforce that though. People will always find the loopholes and game the system.
Which is excuse enough to drop my favorite quote about baseball financials…
“You go through The Sporting News for the last 100 years, and you will find two things are always true.You never have enough pitching, and nobody ever made money.” – Donald Fehr, executive director, MLBPA
careful. the luxury tax goes into a MLB fund and not back to teams. revenue sharing is what the teams get back (all teams put a % of revenue in and get an equal share back out, which gives the smaller market teams extra $$$).
You can gain just as much an equal distribution of talent by eliminating the draft, and then actually give the players what they would earn on an open market. Yes, we’re going to disagree, but the biggest reason for the draft is that so guys like Kyrie Irving and Andrew Wiggins can’t make 20 teams bid against each other for their services.
The problem is player-attachment. How many times have we lost an extremely talented player to a team willing to eat the luxury tax? Victor Martinez, Cliff Lee, CC Sabathia instantly pop to mind. You sit there cheering for them all the while knowing that they are at best a rental until their contract expires. It is a sword of damocles hanging over the heads of fans during the brief windows when a small team market competitive with the big-spenders. The entire MLB becomes nothing more than a grand farm system for the cash-rich large markets. Do those moves backfire sometimes? Sure, look at A.Rod. But the Yankees don’t mind blowing millions on him when they have an unlimited budget.
I believe you are confusing high budget teams with luxury tax paying teams. Only 5 teams have ever paid into luxury tax (Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers, Angels, Tigers) and only 2 of those (Boston/NYY) have ever paid more than once (Dodgers set to do it though). Even most of the high budget teams like to navigate just below the tax line.
Now, on player attachment, it is a mechanism of it being baseball in the first place with the players having such long careers. How many Cleveland Browns players have we seen get past the 6 MLB service time years (or 7 or 8 when the FO extends)? And, LeBron did come back, but he also left after 7 seasons as well (how many other Cavalier players last that long on the team?).
So, we get to enjoy player careers for longer (on average) in MLB than the other sports. But, since they have longer careers, we also tend to see them elsewhere. The thing is that the pendulum has swung where signing 30yo+ baseball players to rich long-term contracts is entirely inefficient and is the reason that Tampa, KC, Pitt, Oakland, Cleveland, and Atlanta have been able to compete in recent years.
Yes, the contention windows are tighter for the smaller budget teams (see: KC, Oakland this season), but teams that can draft, trade, and develop the younger talent have just as good of a shot.
Look, the field is tilted to the Boston, NYY, Dodgers, Giants, and teams able to pay for a few stars to complement their homegrown talent, but there has also been 15 different teams represented in the World Series in the past 15 years (1/2 of MLB).
Doesn’t this support your theory that even the luxury tax system is out-of-line with the reality of spending?
As for your contention that length of play-time is the primary driving force, why do we (and other clubs) consistently see players in their primes leaving for greener ($$$) pastures? It is one thing to see Julio Franco bounce from club to club today. But CC left at the peak of his prime, as did Manny, Victor, Cliff Lee, etc.
We invest our fandom in watching these guys grow up in our system, work out the kinks and then go cash out their chips with the Yankees, Dodgers, Red Sox, Tigers, etc.
Yes, I agree that the luxury tax line needs to be lowered in order to actually achieve the goal of helping the tilt the field closer to being level. And, I agree that it isn’t any fun to see our favorite players go elsewhere. But, as I pointed out, it’s not an only MLB thing there. And, while we missed a couple of prime years from each of those, we also missed the decline years while paying them inordinate amounts of money (unfortunately, the Indians chose Pronk & Sizemore who couldn’t stay healthy – that is where it hurts, when you make the wrong choice as a smaller market team, there is a much bigger domino effect).
First point: Glad we agree on missing out on prime productive years.
As to your second point: I don’t care if other sports have the same problem with free agency. We are talking about how to fix baseball right?
Third point: If there was a cap on how much you could spend, it would drive player salaries down (or keep them level at least) and making the wrong signing would be less impactful. The current bidding war that is MLB FA is designed so that players can collect the most money for the longest period of time possible. For example, ARod wouldn’t have gotten a 400 year $50 billion contract from the Yankees if they could only spend $100M on their roster for the year. Teams would have to evaluate how much they could afford to spend at each given position and investing $30M per year in a single pitcher would be robbing money from the talent pool available for the rest of your roster. This would lead to a dispersion of talent across the board instead of loading it up with the moneybags at the top.