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Draft day is here… While We’re Waiting

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Draft rumors galore. — Jay Glazer’s report about the Browns not drafting Manziel at No. 4 caused ESPN to delete its previous report, which said the exact opposite, per Awful Announcing.

In the Dawgs By Nature staff big board, Manziel is actually ahead of Teddy Bridgewater for everybody. That’s somewhat surprising to me, no? At the same time, Mike Maycock’s mock draft has Blake Bortles (at No. 11) as the only QB in the top 15.

But if you really want my recommendation for a tool to use to mill the draft rumors, check out Brian Burke’s neat visualization of draft odds. It shows the percentages a player might be available at a certain pick, based on the top mock drafts out there. It’s pretty neat.

Local media roundup — A shoutout: Being a local sports beat report is a thankless act. On draft day, I hope to give a loud shoutout to those in the local media that have covered this draft with hundreds and hundreds of reports for their paid job. It’s easier and more relaxing to just do this blogging thing with no commitment. But dang, I really do feel for all of these folks. It’s a tough life.

Here’s what I’m seeing on the Twitters from our Browns writers right now: Tony Grossi’s 12th mock draft discusses trades that could lead to a cornerback. Nate Ulrich gives his five bold predictions, including no QB at No. 4. Mary Kay Cabot’s top scenario features a Wakins-Carr-Roby haul. Zac Jackson wrote that it’s risky to leave the QB selection up to chance. And that’s why Jeff Schudel has Bortles as his pick.

On math and QBs — As you read yesterday, the Browns reportedly spent $100,000 for some fancy analytical review of the quarterback prospects. That has led them to a reported infatuation with Bridgewater. Ironically, however, there are actually some Internet articles that agree. It’s crazy, I know!

From the mathematical articles I’ve seen: NumberFire’s Jim Sannes has Bridgewater as his top guy, noting his games played make him a bit more confident rather than Manziel. RotoWorld’s Greg Peshek also had an excellent charting article in January, showing how Bridgewater threw more difficult passes and completed them at higher rates. DraftMetric’s complicated risk analysis has Manziel higher.

So some sites could buy into that Bridgewater analytics narrative and wouldn’t have cost the Browns $100,000. It’s kind of a silly narrative at the very last minute. Again, as I’ve quoted before, analytics isn’t a strategy.

The Shot turns 25 — I know, I know. This is the last thing you probably want to relive. But Esquire’s Sean Manning has an article about 10 things you didn’t know about that infamous Jordan-Ehlo play. Here’s just one tidbit.

7. Jordan wasn’t yelling in euphoria after “The Shot.” He was trash-talking Cleveland fans.
A second after Jordan’s shot went in and the final horn sounded and Ehlo despairingly collapsed into a heap on the court, Jordan again leapt in the air, fiercely pumping his fist. He gave several more fist pumps and yelled, “Go home!” at the dumbstruck Cavs fans, of whom Wilkens wrote, “I’ve never heard 20,273 people so painfully silent.” It was a surprisingly emphatic reaction considering he’d been so confident in the outcome.

Tweets of the week — And my usual favorite segment is back. Here are some of my favorite tweets of the week. These aren’t necessarily endorsements, of course, but just a random collection of interesting Cleveland-y things.

  • Garry_Owen

    Here’s where I would normally post a gif of Darth Vader imploring young Luke to give in to the dark side so that we can rule the universe as father and son, but out of respect . . .

  • saggy

    i loved watching that guy play. only saw him twice in person. Glad i did. I saw him at Richfield and at the Georgia Dome against the Hawks. Sat in the ‘bleeds in Atlanta, but doesn’t matter. LeBron is better, though.

  • RGB

    Shazier = Kam Chancellor

  • mgbode

    All right! Everybody upstairs! Get dressed! We are going out… to eat!

  • JNeids

    I should also probably warn everyone – the newest layer of tape on my Browns jersey reads “MANZBORTWATER”…which means we will end up with Carr…at 4.

  • mgbode

    yeah, RGB makes a good point on the Chancellor comparison, but I am more with you on him being a LB-S hybrid guy that plays LBer. As the NFL goes more pass-happy, it will need LBers who play more like S more than S who play like LBers.

  • JNeids
  • mgbode

    or this Darth Vader. but, we’ll use Youtube so Harv can click or not click to his choosing.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R55e-uHQna0

  • Harv 21

    Holy … JNeids is smoking today. I have my fire extinguisher and yet I back away.

  • RGB

    Where we’ll sit around drowning our sorrows, and…
    Waiting for next year

    Peking Duck on Christmas Day is actually on my bucket list.

  • Garry_Owen

    Alright, guys. Solid days’ work here. This was extremely well done, but I really don’t want you guys to wear yourselves out. We have some serious commenting to do tomorrow. Go rest.

  • JNeids

    I tried so hard to contain my excitement for today with the full expectations that I would get let down, but I woke up this morning and the bottle just burst open. It’s the same reason why i can’t quit the NBA.

  • saggy

    what’s wrong with Kam Chancellor?

  • Harv 21

    Ok, fun fact so that everyone can take a momentary step away from the draft.

    Very few fans know that the the Vina clobber was a set play by Belle and Eddie Murray. Very few.

  • mgbode

    I got dressed, used the restroom and am ready to go out to eat now. Hate that the only places open on draft day are Chinese restuarants, but it is what it is. Fa ra ra ra ra

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miBKPwVtxFU

  • RGB

    No worries.
    Just wait til the LIVE draft thread.
    I’m locked and loaded…

    http://i121.photobucket.com/albums/o206/galadrielsweet/Sarah%20Connor/sarahconnorshotgun.gif

  • mgbode

    A joyful heart is good medicine, but a crushed spirit dries up the bones

  • RGB

    Nothing. He’s a safety.
    Just like 225 pound Shazier should be…in the NFL.

  • Harv 21

    lucky number 45297763

  • JNeids

    The Browns need to adopt this policy and make it apply to coaches, too.

    http://espn.go.com/boston/nfl/story/_/id/10900270/new-england-patriots-offer-jersey-guarantee-fans

  • RGB

    Oh, and just to jazz things up a little…apparently each player will have his own entrance music while walking up to the podium, ala WWE.

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    Jake Matthews!

  • The_Real_Shamrock

    Jake Matthews!!

  • Harv 21

    wait, coach, the team is still “fluid” about whether they’d take Manziel at #4?
    http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap2000000347762/article/pettine-browns-still-mulling-johnny-manziel-at-no-4
    Mike, Mike, look at me. Next year you gotta be ready for the question and come up with something with a sniff of credibility. Or an easy smackdown like, “Each morning we waterboard everyone in the draft room to see if they’ve shared our discussions with anyone outside of the room.”

  • Pat Leonard

    Kyle Fuller! 🙂

  • nj0

    All this Jordan stuff coming out reminds me of Hogan’s NWO heel turn with Bobby Heenan telling the viewing audience that he had always told everyone that Hogan was no good. Nobody wanted to listen to us, but we knew we were right about that egomaniac.

    http://stream1.gifsoup.com/webroot/animatedgifs4/1533983_o.gif

  • So there’s gotta be a live chat here tonight, right? I’ll bring bourbon.

  • RGB

    Supposedly, Jerry Jones has wood for JFF.
    I’d be working the “We might be taking JFF” angle for all it’s worth.

  • Pat Leonard

    boom. Haiku’d.

  • saggy

    totally. like i said: hybrid LB/S. I think he can thrive.

  • Yes, LeBron is totally better than Ehlo

  • Just keep him away from Josh Gordon, ok? At least until we draft Sammy

  • MrCleaveland

    Are you kidding, GO? This is our last chance to flush from what’s left of our brains whatever inane draft scenarios we might still harbor in there. . . . Our last chance to repeat the same opinion for the 50th time. . . . Our last chance to babble incoherently about trade-ups, trade-downs, who’s hot and who’s not. . . . Our last chance to interpret the enamoring tea leaves, intriguing chicken bones, and impressive iguana entrails.

    I swear, we’re all going to miss this next week.

    /Yells at wife for forgetting to renew my meds.

  • MrCleaveland

    Wow, Pettine really said that?

    Rookie mistake.

  • RGB

    Already anticipating the drowning of sorrows?

  • Well 1) Browns and 2) the NFL Draft. Never known either to bring me much else, and especially not the combination. Also, the bourbon is 100 proof, which will make lighting this torch all the easier. The saved time will be invested in pitchfork sharpening. Marching on Berea from Tampa will be the real trick of it all. But I’ll be buzzed from bourbon. When it comes to preparation, you can call me Henry David.

  • JNeids

    Ha, awesome. I didn’t catch that thanks to the free form.

  • JNeids

    Forgot to mention that I avoided another literal “pot”shot at Josh Gordon.

  • CB Everett

    Saw a quote today on my feed from Eleanor Roosevelt: “Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people.”

    I’m guessing she wasn’t a big fan of the NFL Draft.

  • Ezzie Goldish

    Actually that’s what I was referencing. 🙂

  • Harv 21

    missed that too. I’m keeping my powder dry for tomorrow. Fear I will need artistic expression to ease the annual sports soul-crush. I know how this ends – the more excited I am for a draft the more they kill me. We’ll pick an o-lineman we don’t really need and then watch our division rivals grab the guys I least want to oppose – evans, mack. And then at the first night presser tonight they’ll be smirky about it or worse – “wha’ happened?”/dazed sounding.

    Too early to drink?

  • RGB
  • humboldt

    Did you not get the memo about the cover page on the TPS reports?

    Sorry to hear this, but hope the difficult day makes the release into the draft fervor that much more enjoyable

  • humboldt

    Given Bynum’s bowling injury two years ago perhaps his nickname should henceforth be “Unlucky Strike”?

  • humboldt

    I think Silly Season ended in mid-April, and we’ve been existing in something entirely new and unprecedented for the past 3 weeks. I’m starting to see a fourth dimension

  • humboldt

    What kind of minds commission a $100,000 analytics study on quarterbacks?

  • Pat Leonard

    humboldt… whaaaat’s happening.

    I’m still alive. I guess the situation is made easier by the fact that it’s our business partner’s fault, not ours. Of course our clients don’t care about that and they are angry at us regardless. So it hasn’t been soul-crushing yet and the day is halfway done… that’s gotta be a plus! The draft fervor builds regardless.

  • saggy

    I believe you’re mistaken. I’m sure she would have an idea about a person to draft during this event.

  • CB Everett

    Ha clearly the mindless

  • mgbode

    if it makes you feel any better, today a customer told me they were using design rules for a 4yo project on our current design and were confused why it wasn’t working properly. I truly did not know whether to be upset, start laughing, or just curl up in a ball and cry. So, my draft preparation is complete.