Box Score: Indians 2, Royals 8
May 29, 2012Cavaliers To Win Tonight’s Lottery According to Scientific Donut Eating Study
May 30, 2012While We’re Waiting serves as the early morning gathering of WFNY-esque information for your viewing pleasure. Have something you think we should see? Send it to our tips email at tips@waitingfornextyear.com.
“But one thing Sizemore said spoke volumes about the decline and disappearance of a once-mesmerizing player. He was asked if he had seen Michael Brantley’s over-the-wall catch in Chicago over the weekend. “Great catch,” Sizemore said. “It’s one of those things I used to be able to do.” Seriously, how sad a statement is that? What’s more, neither Sizemore nor the Indians seem to have any exact idea of when he’ll actually be back on the field, trying to make such magic happen. Sizemore’s total body rehab and conditioning has allowed him to take some batting practice, but he’s not yet at the point of running bases or anything along those lines. His timetable for getting into Minor League rehab games also appears murky.” [Castrovince/MLB]
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Draft profile: Doron Lamb– “Lamb finished his sophomore year a National Champ and turns 21 in November. Standing around 6’ – 4” or 6’ – 5”, with 6’ – 7” wingspan, he has reasonable length for an NBA shooting guard. Despite entering college as a McDonald’s all-American, Lamb gladly accepted his duties as a role player for the Wildcats, functioning as their ace-marksman, secondary ball-handler, and a solid cog in a top-tier defense. His offensive rating of 127.5 ranked eleventh in the NCAA; largely aided by blistering 47% three-point shooting and a minuscule 1.1 turnovers per game. With his satisfactory athleticism and rapid release, UK frequently runs Lamb around screeners, relying on his accurate shooting for points on a number of set plays. Non-existent as a rebounder; his 13 points every night were second highest on the most loaded NCAA team in recent memory. Although not suitable as a point guard in the NBA, he spelled Marquis Teague this year and performed respectably, thanks to ambidextrous dribbling and above average speed. These skills prove useful towards generating mid-range looks, although a lack of explosiveness and strength impedes his finishing; his two-point field goal percentage ranked him 13th of 18 shooting guards in the draftexpress 2012 database. Needing to bulk up also proves as a limitation on defense, where he struggles through screens & picks, despite engaging whole-heartedly and displaying solid fundamentals.” [Hetrick/Cavs the Blog]
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“What exactly does this mean? How does the lottery work? What is the meaning of life? All of these are good questions and I hope to be able to answer at least two of them. The lottery is a sneaky little invention from the NBA to try to limit obvious tanking. Back in the day, when a guy like Hakeem Olajuwon or Patrick Ewing were going to be the number one pick, teams would likely see that and go “shit, we’re out of the playoffs, let’s get a superstar player!” They would then tank for the worst spot and and try to get that player. It made for crappy games and such, so the NBA fixed that by installing the lottery.
A common misconception is that the lottery is used to determine the entire draft order. On the contrary, it only really determines the top three picks in the draft. Each team is given a number of combinations out of the 1000 total. The team with the best odds (Charlotte) has 250 combinations. Cleveland has 138 combinations. The team with the worst odds (Houston) has 5 combinations.” [Kaczmarek/Fear the Sword]
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“Maybe winning this Lottery means that he’ll get pick number one again. Maybe this time it’s pick number two. Or maybe, like Gloria told Billy Hoyle in White Men Can’t Jump, that “sometimes when you lose, you really win”. Meaning, even if the Cavaliers pick 6th, I feel like Perry Jones III will then become that Small Forward who NBA Scouts dream he might be one day. Or possibly the Cavaliers neither win or lose, hold serve and pick third, and Nick allows that second pick to go to a team who doesn’t want MKG for some reason and the Cavs get my guy anyways. Whichever way it goes, I just have this feeling that it will shake out right for Cleveland. I appreciate that bow tie rocking swagged out little dude for that too, and thank Nick Gilbert for making this thing fun tomorrow.” [Bowers/Stepien Rules]
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Finally, a Johnny Damon Haiku for you. [WFNY Tumblr]
6 Comments
That Damon haiku is from 2007 when we were in the playoffs against Damon and the Yankees.
“There is a 42.6% chance of the Cavs drafting in the top-three and getting the chance to grab Davis, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, or Bradley Beal.”
Yo, math geeks: I want this to be true, but is it statistically correct before the first result is known? (In other words, thought our odds for each selection are independent and you cannot combine to calculate as a whole – or can you?)
the odds are all ‘known’ so yes you can calculate the %’s based on those odds.
now, if we knew who got the 1st pick, then the odds below would change and we would have to adjust accordingly.
thx
Change that last line on that haiku
A play at the plate.
Johnny Damon with the throw.
There’s puke in my mouth
don’t forget that if the Cavs don’t get the #1 overall pick tonight, then we want the Kings to get it (to boost their odds of giving us their 1st rounder next year)